Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Santa Catarina - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Catarina
47.5% | Draw
28.3% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Catarina's performance.Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Catarina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.35) |
3.45 ↑
(3.25) |
4.01 ↑
(2.63) |
2.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.
- Santa Catarina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marcílio Dias is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Santa Catarina has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Catarina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Catarina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Catarina won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Santa Catarina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Santa Catarina?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
18.10.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Santa Catarina
3:2
04.03.2025
Santa Catarina
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:0
30.01.2025
Santa Catarina
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:1
Latest results of Santa Catarina
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Figueirense | Chapecoense-SC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina | Marcilio Dias | 1 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Blumenau | Tubarao | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Criciuma | Joinville | 0 : 0 |
