Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/310) | 80% (291/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/310) | 80% (291/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (51/97) | 73% (67/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
- 45+3', Silva H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galletto T. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 60', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 61', Neiva G. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
- 61', Duarte D. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 65', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
- 67', Mendonca G. ↓, Ponck ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
- 70', Silva H. ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
- 71', Fernando ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 83', Mateus Pivo ↓, Green A. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Silva ↓, Darlan ↑,
- 85', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Brenner ↑,
Chances of winning
AVS
20.6% | Draw
28% | Santa Clara
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
AVS - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↓
(5) |
3.39 ↓
(3.53) |
1.85 ↑
(1.74) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santa Clara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Santa Clara is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Santa Clara?
AVS has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against AVS?
Santa Clara has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Santa Clara were as follows:
25.10.2025
Santa Clara
-
AVS
2:0
08.02.2025
AVS
-
Santa Clara
1:2
31.08.2024
Santa Clara
-
AVS
2:1
30.03.2024
AVS
-
Santa Clara
1:2
11.11.2023
Santa Clara
-
AVS
2:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
