Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/482) | 73% (225/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/482) | 73% (225/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (36/68) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (122/163) | 60% (63/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Devenish C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', Kodisang K. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 66', Akinsola T. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
- 67', Brenner ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 67', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Serginho (Pen),
- 73', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
- 74', Pedro Lima ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 74', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Costa J. (A),
- 84', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 84', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 84', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 90+3', Paulo Victor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
61.9% | Draw
24.5% | AVS
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Santa Clara - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.48) |
3.85
(3.85) |
6.84 ↓
(7.19) |
5.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - AVS?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). AVS will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 79.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santa Clara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Recent performances by Santa Clara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AVS has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Santa Clara is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against AVS?
Santa Clara has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Santa Clara?
AVS has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - AVS were as follows:
08.02.2025
AVS
-
Santa Clara
1:2
31.08.2024
Santa Clara
-
AVS
2:1
30.03.2024
AVS
-
Santa Clara
1:2
11.11.2023
Santa Clara
-
AVS
2:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
