Santa Cruz de Natal vs Laguna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
04/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Potiguar - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Tallison ,
  • 3', 2 - 0, Luis Felipe ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 2 - 3, ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz de Natal
30.9%
Draw
29%
Laguna
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 25.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 25.2% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz de Natal's form might have worsened.
  • Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laguna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laguna than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laguna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.23)
    3.12
    (3.61)
    2.26
    (2.73)
    10.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Laguna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna 1:1
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Latest results of Laguna
    31.01.2026 Laguna - Potiguar 0:1
    25.01.2026 Laguna - Globo FC 5:1
    18.01.2026 América RN - Laguna 4:1
    14.01.2026 Laguna - QFC 1:4
    11.01.2026 ABC - Laguna 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1America RN (1)Bye
    2QFC (3)Santa Cruz de Natal (6)1 : 1
    3ABC (2)Bye
    4Potiguar de Mossoru00f3 (4)Laguna RN (5)0 : 0