QFC vs Santa Cruz de Natal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Potiguar - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
39
Red cards
12
Total shots
126
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Paulinho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Wellington Reis ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Chances of winning


QFC
58%
Draw
24.3%
Santa Cruz de Natal
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 26.5% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • QFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for QFC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • QFC - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.63)
    3.74
    (3.4)
    5.15
    (4.9)
    9.9%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • QFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santa Cruz de Natal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, QFC is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, QFC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between QFC - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Santa Cruz de Natal - QFC 1:1
    25.01.2026 Santa Cruz de Natal - QFC 1:4
    Latest results of QFC
    28.02.2026 Santa Cruz de Natal - QFC 1:1
    07.02.2026 ABC - QFC 1:1
    04.02.2026 QFC - Potyguar Seridoense 4:1
    31.01.2026 QFC - América RN 0:1
    25.01.2026 Santa Cruz de Natal - QFC 1:4
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1America RN (1)Bye
    2Potiguar de Mossoru00f3 (4)Laguna RN (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3ABC (2)Bye
    4QFC (3)Santa Cruz de Natal (6)2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1America RN (1)Potiguar de Mossoru00f3 (4)1 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ABC (2)QFC (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1

    Final
    1America RN (1)ABC (2)2 : 1, 1 : 1