Santa Cruz Recife vs Santa Cruz de Natal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal
Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
112
Corner Kicks
176
Total shots
195
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
176
Goalkeeper Saves
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Eduardo Brito ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
65.3%
Draw
22.4%
Santa Cruz de Natal
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 25.2% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 23.9% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.64)
    4.12
    (3.6)
    7.5
    (4.61)
    8.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Santa Cruz de Natal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Santa Cruz de Natal - Santa Cruz Recife 0:0
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0