Result
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Santa Cruz Recife 65.3% | Draw 22.4% | Santa Cruz de Natal 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.64) |
4.12 ↑ (3.6) |
7.5 ↑ (4.61) |
8.3% (10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
- Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santa Cruz de Natal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Cruz is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz Recife won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Santa Cruz Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Santa Cruz Recife?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
03.05.2025
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Santa Cruz Recife
0:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tuna Luso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 24 |
2 | Manauara ✔ | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Independencia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
4 | Manaus | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
6 | Trem | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 15 |
7 | GAS | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Humaita | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AE Altos ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:12 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Imperatriz ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
3 | Sampaio Correa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Iguatu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
5 | Parnahyba | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 13 |
6 | Maranhao | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Tocantinopolis | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Maracana | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Central SC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
3 | America RN | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 13 |
6 | Treze PB | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 13 |
7 | Sousa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Horizonte | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | ASA ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
2 | Lagarto | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Sergipe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
5 | Jequie | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
7 | Barcelona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
8 | SC Penedense | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 30:11 | 19 | 28 |
2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Luverdense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Mixto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
6 | Goiania | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
7 | Goianesia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 |
8 | Porto Velho | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Portuguesa ✔ | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 24 |
2 | Rio Branco ES | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Marica | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Pouso Alegre | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Agua Santa | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
6 | Nova Iguacu | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
7 | Porto Vitoria | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
8 | Boavista | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Goiatuba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Cascavel | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 17 |
4 | Uberlandia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Cianorte | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Monte Azul | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
7 | Operario MS | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
8 | Itabirito | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barra FC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
2 | Joinville | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 21 |
3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Marcilio Dias | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
5 | Guarany de Bage | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 15 |
6 | Sao Luiz | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
7 | Azuriz | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 |
8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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