Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
- 38', 🟥,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ian Augusto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sousa
54.6% | Draw
26.4% | Santa Cruz de Natal
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.66) |
3.44 ↑
(3.11) |
4.8 ↑
(2.42) |
9.9%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sousa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sousa will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
- Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Cruz de Natal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sousa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Sousa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Sousa?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
19.04.2025
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
1:0
03.07.2024
Sousa
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
18.05.2024
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
2:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 1 |
