Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
- 38', 🟥,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ian Augusto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sousa
54.6% | Draw
26.4% | Santa Cruz de Natal
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.66) |
3.44 ↑
(3.11) |
4.8 ↑
(2.42) |
9.9%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sousa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sousa will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
- Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Cruz de Natal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sousa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Santa Cruz de Natal?
Sousa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz de Natal won against Sousa?
Santa Cruz de Natal has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
19.04.2025
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
1:0
03.07.2024
Sousa
-
Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
18.05.2024
Santa Cruz de Natal
-
Sousa
2:0
Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Serie D Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Manauara | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Manaus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Independencia | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Trem | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | GAS | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
| 8 | Humaita | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12:45 | -33 | 4 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Maranhao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Iguatu | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 15 |
| 7 | Parnahyba | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 14 |
| 8 | Maracana | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America RN | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:10 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Central SC | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 5 | Horizonte | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 7 | Treze PB | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 13 |
| 8 | Sousa | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27:8 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Juazeirense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 22 |
| 5 | Uniao Carmolandense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Jequie | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | 8 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:12 | 20 | 32 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | Mixto | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Capital | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Goiania | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9:30 | -21 | 7 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Marica | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Boavista | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:23 | -14 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Goiatuba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Cascavel | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Uberlandia | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 14 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | EC Sao Jose | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Joinville | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 11:12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sao Luiz | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10:20 | -10 | 13 |
| 8 | Azuriz | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
