Santa Cruz Recife vs Sousa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa
Result
2:0
15/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
66
Total shots
96
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Thiago Galhardo (Pen),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Thiaguinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
60.2%
Draw
24.7%
Sousa
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 27.8% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 26.4% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
  • Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)
    3.75
    (3.25)
    6.17
    (5.19)
    7.8%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Santa Cruz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sousa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Santa Cruz will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife 0:1
    28.06.2023 Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife 2:1
    03.06.2023 Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa 1:0
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Sousa
    11.06.2025 Sousa - América RN 1:0
    01.06.2025 América RN - Sousa 2:0
    25.05.2025 Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife 0:1
    18.05.2025 Horizonte - Sousa 2:1
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara ✔ 1375126:91726
    2Tuna Luso ✔ 1373322:101224
    3Manaus1355320:17320
    4Aguia De Maraba1354421:13819
    5Trem1353523:23018
    6Independencia1353516:18-218
    7GAS1342716:23-714
    8Humaita13111112:43-314


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1375122:13926
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1363414:13121
    3Sampaio Correa ✔ 1355316:10620
    4Iguatu1352614:14017
    5Maranhao1337317:12516
    6Tocantinopolis1336411:16-515
    7Parnahyba1335514:19-514
    8Maracana1323811:22-119


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central SC ✔ 1374215:7825
    2America RN ✔ 1373319:91024
    3Santa Cruz ✔ 1373317:10724
    4Horizonte1352614:15-117
    5Ferroviario1352615:19-417
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1342711:19-814
    7Treze PB134187:17-1013
    8Sousa1333710:12-212


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1384124:81628
    2Lagarto ✔ 1372420:15523
    3Juazeirense ✔ 1364312:12022
    4Sergipe1354415:10519
    5Jequie1344515:15016
    6Uniao Carmolandense1344513:16-316
    7Barcelona132569:19-1011
    8SC Penedense130584:17-135


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 1392230:111929
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1374221:14725
    3Luverdense ✔ 1364313:12122
    4Mixto ✔ 1356219:13621
    5Capital1345413:10317
    6Goiania1324712:21-910
    7Goianesia1315711:20-98
    8Porto Velho131489:27-187


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1383219:13627
    2Rio Branco ES ✔ 1372416:9723
    3Marica1354414:11319
    4Agua Santa1353518:18018
    5Pouso Alegre1352613:16-317
    6Porto Vitoria1344513:12116
    7Nova Iguacu1335512:15-314
    8Boavista132389:20-119


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1393121:61530
    2Goiatuba ✔ 1354420:16419
    3Cianorte ✔ 1354420:17319
    4Cascavel1346313:14-118
    5Uberlandia1344520:18216
    6Operario MS1335513:20-714
    7Monte Azul1325611:17-611
    8Itabirito1317510:20-1010


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1382320:91126
    2EC Sao Jose ✔ 1374220:101025
    3Joinville ✔ 1363410:9121
    4Marcilio Dias ✔ 1355316:14220
    5Guarany de Bage134459:13-416
    6Brasil de Pelotas1341810:12-213
    7Sao Luiz1340910:20-1012
    8Azuriz133376:14-812

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sampaio Correa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Juazeirense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Goiatuba is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Marcilio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)