Santa Cruz RJ vs Paraty – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Carioca C Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty
Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca C - Play Offs - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Negueba ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Jorge Eduardo ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz RJ
38.3%
Draw
28.2%
Paraty
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 25.1% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24.1% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz RJ's form might have worsened.
  • Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paraty's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz RJ than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraty than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraty, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (1.77)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    3.06
    (3.79)
    -2.3%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz RJ is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Santa Cruz RJ will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty were as follows:
    03.07.2025 Paraty - Santa Cruz RJ 3:3
    09.06.2024 Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty 1:0
    Latest results of Santa Cruz RJ
    Latest results of Paraty
    28.08.2025 Paraty - União Central 0:0
    24.08.2025 União Central - Paraty 2:2
    04.08.2025 Duque Caxiense - Paraty 0:1
    27.07.2025 Paraty - EC Resende 4:1
    23.07.2025 União Central - Paraty 0:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1ParatyUniao Central0 : 0, 2 : 2
    2Santa Cruz RJRiostrense6 : 2, 3 : 1

    Final
    1ParatySanta Cruz RJ1 : 2