Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Shola H. S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Borg A. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 1, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Lucia
36.3% | Draw
27.2% | Gudja United
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Santa Lucia - Gudja United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.23) |
3.31 ↓
(3.51) |
2.47 ↓
(2.64) |
11.1%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Gudja United has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Gudja United?
Santa Lucia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gudja United won against Santa Lucia?
Gudja United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Gudja United were as follows:
28.09.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Gudja United
2:2
26.10.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Gudja United
0:0
25.02.2024
Gudja United
-
Santa Lucia
0:4
21.10.2023
Santa Lucia
-
Gudja United
0:0
04.02.2023
Gudja United
-
Santa Lucia
3:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Latest results of Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gudja | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 7 | Marsa | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 9 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9:78 | -69 | -2 |
Relegation
