Santa Lucia vs Marsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
33
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Demanuele N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Santa Lucia
46.9%
Draw
25.3%
Marsa
27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 24.2% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Santa Lucia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Marsa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Santa Lucia - Marsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.95)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    3.29
    (3.29)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Santa Lucia - Marsa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Marsa (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 3.
    • Recent performances by Santa Lucia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marsa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games.
    • Santa Lucia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Marsa were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Marsa - Santa Lucia 2:2
    29.03.2025 Santa Lucia - Marsa 3:1
    15.09.2024 Santa Lucia - Marsa 0:5
    11.01.2024 Santa Lucia - Marsa 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    Latest results of Marsa
    08.03.2026 Marsa - Gudja United 3:3
    28.02.2026 Marsa - Mġarr United 1:2
    21.02.2026 Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars 2:2
    15.02.2026 Marsa - Balzan 1:4
    08.02.2026 Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa 1:1
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1995538:261232
    2Gudja1968523:21226
    3Santa Lucia1958631:29223
    4Zurrieq19631030:32-221
    5Vittoriosa1946923:29-618
    6Marsa19361025:35-1013
    7Zebbug19341219:43-2413
    8Mtarfa1911179:83-74-2

          Relegation