Result
2:2
18/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Vella M. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Conti K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Vella M. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Bugeja G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsa
35.8% | Draw
24.2% | Santa Lucia
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marsa - Santa Lucia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(3.52) |
3.72
(3.72) |
2.24 ↑
(1.85) |
11.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
- Marsa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Lucia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Lucia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.4:3.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Santa Lucia?
Marsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Marsa?
Santa Lucia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Santa Lucia were as follows:
29.03.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
3:1
15.09.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
0:5
11.01.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
2:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Maltese Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Balzan | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:9 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Melita | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35:17 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | Birzebbuga | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Sirens | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 31:19 | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Swieqi | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Fgura | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 32:22 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Mgarr | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Pieta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Gudja | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | St. Andrews | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Santa Lucia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 26:23 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Zurrieq | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Vittoriosa | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Marsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Zebbug | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9:34 | -25 | 8 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9:59 | -50 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )
Challenge League (Relegation Group: )
