Result
2:2
18/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Vella M. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Conti K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Vella M. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Bugeja G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsa
35.8% | Draw
24.2% | Santa Lucia
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Lucia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marsa - Santa Lucia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(3.52) |
3.72
(3.72) |
2.24 ↑
(1.85) |
11.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
- Marsa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Lucia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Lucia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.4:3.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Santa Lucia?
Marsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Marsa?
Santa Lucia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Santa Lucia were as follows:
29.03.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
3:1
15.09.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
0:5
11.01.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Marsa
2:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gudja | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 7 | Marsa | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 9 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9:78 | -69 | -2 |
Relegation
