Santa Lucia vs Marsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Challenge League Santa Lucia - Marsa
Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
116
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
159
Shots on target
116
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Bradshaw A. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Asante E. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Santa Lucia
33.1%
Draw
24.3%
Marsa
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 24.7% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 23.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Santa Lucia - Marsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (3.07)
    3.76
    (3.7)
    2.15
    (2.01)
    9.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marsa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Marsa will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 3.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Marsa were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Santa Lucia - Marsa 0:5
    11.01.2024 Santa Lucia - Marsa 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    Latest results of Marsa
    09.03.2025 Marsa - Żurrieq 0:2
    01.03.2025 Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa 5:2
    22.02.2025 Marsa - Swieqi United 2:3
    15.02.2025 Mġarr United - Marsa 1:1
    09.02.2025 Marsa - Valletta 0:1
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melita440015:31212
    2Fgura43018:449
    3Santa Lucia421114:777
    4Pieta42119:547
    5Balzan42118:447
    6St. Andrews42115:6-17
    7Swieqi42115:6-17
    8Mgarr42026:516
    9Gudja41305:416
    10Sirens42028:806
    11Birzebbuga42026:606
    12Vittoriosa41033:6-33
    13Zurrieq41037:11-43
    14Marsa41125:7-22
    15Zebbug40132:9-71
    16Mtarfa40040:15-15-6

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