Santa Lucia vs Melita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
410
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
37
Corner kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Borg A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 76', 1 - 1, Vella M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Petkovski F. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Allionida Q. ,

Chances of winning


Santa Lucia
27.4%
Draw
26.5%
Melita
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 24.6% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 23.8% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Santa Lucia - Melita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.04)
    3.39
    (3.66)
    1.95
    (1.98)
    11.2%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melita is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    18.01.2026 Marsa - Santa Lucia 2:2
    04.01.2026 Fgura United - Santa Lucia 2:1
    20.12.2025 Santa Lucia - Balzan 1:1
    Latest results of Melita
    17.01.2026 Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita 1:4
    11.01.2026 Melita - Marsa 3:2
    13.12.2025 St. Andrews - Melita 1:0
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation