Santa Lucia vs Mġarr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Challenge League Santa Lucia - Mġarr United
Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
26
Shots off Goal
76
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Yellow Cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Borg A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Zammit J. ,
  • 61', 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santa Lucia
32.2%
Draw
25.7%
Mġarr United
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 23.8% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 23.7% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.
  • Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Santa Lucia - Mġarr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.4)
    3.51
    (3.75)
    2.14
    (2.3)
    11.1%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Santa Lucia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Mġarr United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 4:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 4:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Mġarr United were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Santa Lucia - Mġarr United 5:3
    07.02.2024 Santa Lucia - Mġarr United 3:4
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    27.02.2025 Mġarr United - Mtarfa 1:0
    15.02.2025 Mġarr United - Marsa 1:1
    09.02.2025 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1MelitaNaxxar0 : 1