Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 0, Igiebor W. ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 1, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mġarr United
38.6% | Draw
24.9% | Santa Lucia
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Mġarr United - Santa Lucia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.4) |
3.6 ↓
(3.62) |
2.46 ↓
(2.49) |
11.4%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Mġarr United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santa Lucia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:12. (average 2.8:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mġarr United won against Santa Lucia?
Mġarr United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Mġarr United?
Santa Lucia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Santa Lucia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Mġarr United
-
Santa Lucia
3:3
02.03.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Mġarr United
1:1
02.02.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Mġarr United
5:3
07.02.2024
Santa Lucia
-
Mġarr United
3:4
Latest results of Mġarr United
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Gudja | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 3 | Santa Lucia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 24 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 21 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 7 | Marsa | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9:89 | -80 | -2 |
Relegation
