Result
3:0
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cloth J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Borg A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 3 - 0, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Lucia
54% | Draw
25.8% | Żurrieq
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Lucia's performance.Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żurrieq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Lucia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żurrieq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Lucia - Żurrieq Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.65) |
4.87 ↑
(3.46) |
6.2 ↑
(2.25) |
-20.3%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Żurrieq?
Santa Lucia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Żurrieq won against Santa Lucia?
Żurrieq has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Żurrieq were as follows:
09.12.2025
Żurrieq
-
Santa Lucia
4:0
19.04.2025
Żurrieq
-
Santa Lucia
2:0
15.02.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Żurrieq
3:6
04.01.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Żurrieq
2:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Latest results of Żurrieq
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Gudja | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 3 | Santa Lucia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 24 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 21 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 7 | Marsa | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9:89 | -80 | -2 |
Relegation
