Result
3:0
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cloth J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Borg A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 3 - 0, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Lucia 54% | Draw 25.8% | Żurrieq 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Lucia's performance.Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żurrieq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Lucia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żurrieq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Lucia - Żurrieq Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.65) |
4.87 ↑ (3.46) |
6.2 ↑ (2.25) |
-20.3% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Żurrieq?
Santa Lucia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Żurrieq won against Santa Lucia?
Żurrieq has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Żurrieq were as follows:
09.12.2025
Żurrieq
-
Santa Lucia
4:0
19.04.2025
Żurrieq
-
Santa Lucia
2:0
15.02.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Żurrieq
3:6
04.01.2025
Santa Lucia
-
Żurrieq
2:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Latest results of Żurrieq
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsFinal