Real Brasilia vs Santa Maria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Real Brasilia - Santa Maria
Result
1:0
25/02/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: BRASILIENSE - ROUND 7

Chances of winning


Real Brasilia
79.8%
Draw
14.8%
Santa Maria
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 22.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 16.6% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Brasilia's performance.
  • Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-37%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Brasilia - Santa Maria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.55)
    6.12
    (4)
    16.91
    (4.82)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Real Brasilia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Maria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Santa Maria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Real Brasilia is absolute favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Brasilia - Santa Maria were as follows:
    18.03.2023 Santa Maria - Real Brasilia 0:0
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    Latest results of Santa Maria
    18.02.2024 Santa Maria - Gama 0:5
    08.02.2024 Paranoá - Santa Maria 1:0
    03.02.2024 Ceilândia - Santa Maria 6:0
    28.01.2024 Santa Maria - Brasiliense 0:1
    21.01.2024 Ceilandense - Santa Maria 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1