Santamarina de Tandil vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
50
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Igartua N. 🟨,
  • 18', Comachi L. 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Rojas D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santamarina de Tandil
54.3%
Draw
28.1%
Germinal
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.5% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.94)
    3.26
    (3.07)
    5.21
    (3.77)
    9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 2.
    • Recent performances by Santamarina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Germinal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Santamarina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:0
    13.04.2025 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 1:1
    21.07.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 2:1
    26.05.2024 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 2:0
    30.03.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:1
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

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