Santamarina de Tandil vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
50
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Igartua N. 🟨,
  • 18', Comachi L. 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Rojas D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santamarina de Tandil
54.3%
Draw
28.1%
Germinal
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.5% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.94)
    3.26
    (3.07)
    5.21
    (3.77)
    9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 2.
    • Recent performances by Santamarina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Germinal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Santamarina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:0
    13.04.2025 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 1:1
    21.07.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 2:1
    26.05.2024 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 2:0
    30.03.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:1
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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