Santamarina de Tandil vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
67
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
50
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Igartua N. 🟨,
  • 18', Comachi L. 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Rojas D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santamarina de Tandil
54.3%
Draw
28.1%
Germinal
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.5% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 30.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.94)
    3.26
    (3.07)
    5.21
    (3.77)
    9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 2.
    • Recent performances by Santamarina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Germinal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Santamarina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:0
    13.04.2025 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 1:1
    21.07.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 2:1
    26.05.2024 Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil 2:0
    30.03.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 1:1
    Latest results of Germinal
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    59 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    6Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    7Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    10Argentino MM (2)Bye
    11Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    12Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 1
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)2 : 0
    39 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)2 : 1
    4Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0
    5Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)2 : 0
    6Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)0 : 0
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 1