Carlos Maria Zarate vs Santiago De La Fuente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Antofagasta Challenger Men Carlos Maria Zarate - Santiago De La Fuente
Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
56%75%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (45/61)59% (47/80)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (22/47)46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)67% (10/15)
1st Return Points Won
43% (34/80)26% (16/61)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (14/26)53% (25/47)
Break Points Converted
33% (5/15)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
62% (64/104)56% (59/106)
Return Points Won
44% (47/106)38% (40/104)
Total Points Won
53% (111/210)47% (99/210)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Carlos Maria Zarate
39.9%
Santiago De La Fuente
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Maria Zarate's form might have worsened.
  • Santiago De La Fuente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago De La Fuente's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago De La Fuente than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago De La Fuente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlos Maria Zarate - Santiago De La Fuente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.84)

    1.56
    (1.85)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Maria Zarate - Santiago De La Fuente?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Zarate (votes: 2 - 66.7%). De La Fuente (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Carlos Maria Zarate will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zarate is ranked ATP: 904. De La Fuente is ranked ATP: 654.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • De La Fuente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Maria Zarate - Santiago De La Fuente were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Santiago De La Fuente - Carlos Maria Zarate 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    3Soto M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    4Bagnis F. (WC)Maestrelli F. (5)2 : 1
    5Dellien H. (3)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Kicker N.Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Torres J. B. (Q)Neumayer L. (7)0 : 2
    9Thanos A. (LL)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    10Collarini A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    11Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Midon L.1 : 2
    12Olivieri G. A.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    13Habib H.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    14Nunez D. A. (WC)Zarate C. M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torrealba B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)Bagnis F.
    3Guillen Meza A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Diaz Acosta F.Neumayer L. (7)2 : 0
    5Thanos A.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    6Midon L.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    7Habib H.Zarate C. M.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gomez F. A.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Guillen Meza A.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    2Vallejo D.Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2