Deportes Concepción vs Santiago Morning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Deportes Concepción - Santiago Morning
Result
4:1
29/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
29
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
21
Total shots
913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
19
Corner Kicks
29
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Sandoval M. , Astete N. ,
  • 19', Carrasco D. 🟨,
  • 21', Arias D. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Ojeda U. ,
  • 33', Estay D. , Cortes F. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Campillay K. ,
  • 37', Astete N. 🟥,
  • 37', Castro P. 🟥,
  • 38', Larrivey J. 🟨,
  • 38', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Larrivey J. ,
  • 45+3', Campillay K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Coronado M. , Asprea T. ,
  • 55', Cortes F. 🟨,
  • 62', Arias D. , Escobar G. ,
  • 66', Salazar S. 🟨,
  • 72', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Ovalle J. ,
  • 75', Salazar S. , Arancibia M. ,
  • 75', Vasquez K. , Ceron D. ,
  • 78', Larrivey J. , Escobar C. ,
  • 78', Ojeda U. , Fuentes N. ,
  • 79', Morales C. , Valdivia B. ,
  • 80', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
  • 85', Ovalle J. , Kimura N. ,
  • 90', 4 - 1, Carrasco D. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Concepción
45.9%
Draw
28%
Santiago Morning
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 29.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.6% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Deportes Concepción - Santiago Morning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.26)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    3.52
    (3.16)
    8.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Concepción - Santiago Morning?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Deportes Concepción will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3.
    • Recent performances by Deportes Concepción have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santiago Morning is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Deportes Concepción is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Concepción - Santiago Morning were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Santiago Morning - Deportes Concepción 0:3
    Latest results of Santiago Morning