Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        01/08/2025 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga de Ascenso - Round 19
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 40% | 60% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Coronado M. 🟨, 
- 27', Asprea T. 🟨, 
- 31', Viveros D. 🟨, 
- 33', Asprea T. 🟨, 
- 38', Valdes B. 🟨, 
- 38', Alarcon F. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Arancibia M. ↓, Castro P. ↑, 
- 46', Coronado M. ↓, Cortes F. ↑, 
- 48', Valdes B. 🟨, 
- 66', Estay D. 🟨, 
- 67', Alvarado F. 🟨, 
- 74', Flores J. 🟨, 
- 74', Lara I. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑, 
- 77', Vasquez K. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑, 
- 80', Cortes F. 🟨, 
- 81', Carvajal N. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑, 
- 82', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Marin C. ↑, 
- 88', 0 - 1, Estigarribia G. (Pen), 
- 90', Estay D. ↓, Carreno E. ↑, 
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Estigarribia G. ⚽, 
- 90+5', Marin C. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Santiago Morning 37.4%
 | Draw 30.9%
 | Deportes Recoleta 31.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.45 ↑ (2.23)
 | 2.97 ↓ (3.23)
 | 2.9 ↓ (3.03)
 | 8.9% (8.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 1.
- Santiago Morning is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Recoleta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Santiago Morning has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Morning won against Deportes Recoleta?
                    
                    
                        
                            Santiago Morning has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Recoleta won against Santiago Morning?
                    
                    
                        
                             Deportes Recoleta has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta were as follows:
                                                        
                                06.04.2025 
                                Deportes Recoleta 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.03.2025 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                - 
                                Deportes Recoleta 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.11.2024 
                                Deportes Recoleta 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.11.2024 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                - 
                                Deportes Recoleta 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.10.2024 
                                Deportes Recoleta 
                                - 
                                Santiago Morning 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Santiago Morning                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportes Recoleta