Santiago Morning vs Santiago Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
89
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Total shots
910
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Luna J. ,
  • 27', Salas J. , Velasquez M. ,
  • 28', Campillay K. 🟥,
  • 31', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
  • 39', Espinoza E. 🟨,
  • 40', Arias D. , Arancibia M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Valladares J. , Silva J. ,
  • 69', Santelices G. 🟨,
  • 70', Manriquez Hernandez F. , Castro P. ,
  • 70', Arancibia M. , Taiva B. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Taiva B. ,
  • 78', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 80', Asprea T. 🟨,
  • 83', Luna J. , Ponce C. ,
  • 83', Pereyra J. , Opazo D. ,
  • 83', Asprea T. , Iturra M. ,
  • 90+4', Gatica J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Santiago Morning
24.3%
Draw
28.6%
Santiago Wanderers
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 31.3% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 31.3% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Morning's form might have worsened.
  • Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (2.71)
    3.71
    (2.9)
    2.26
    (2.57)
    -5.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 1.
    • Santiago Morning is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Santiago Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning 2:3
    03.10.2024 Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning 2:2
    04.05.2024 Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers 1:1
    01.09.2023 Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers 0:0