Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica
Result
1:0
03/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
79
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Felipe S. ,
  • 28', Gonzalez V. 🟨,
  • 43', Rivera J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gatica J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Navarro L. 🟨,
  • 55', Muller I. 🟨,
  • 57', Luna J. 🟨,
  • 67', Herrera A. , Salas J. ,
  • 69', Campos R. , Cubillos G. ,
  • 70', Gatica J. , Silva J. ,
  • 71', Barrios A. 🟨,
  • 79', Muller I. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 79', Abalos A. , Camarda M. ,
  • 84', Duma J. , Opazo D. ,
  • 84', Luna J. , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 84', Cuadra M. , Margas L. ,
  • 89', Silva J. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Rivera J. , Godoy M. ,

Chances of winning


Santiago Wanderers
48.1%
Draw
27%
San Marcos de Arica
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 27.5% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 27.6% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Wanderers's performance.
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marcos de Arica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marcos de Arica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.15)
    3.43
    (3.3)
    3.72
    (3)
    8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Wanderers: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 3.
    • Santiago Wanderers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santiago Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica 2:0
    11.05.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers 0:0
    10.09.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers 1:2
    10.05.2023 Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica 1:1