Santomera vs Bala Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Santomera
34.9%
Draw
30.3%
Bala Azul
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 29% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 27.7% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santomera's form might have worsened.
  • Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bala Azul's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santomera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bala Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santomera - Bala Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.18)
    2.99
    (3.15)
    2.6
    (3.15)
    10.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
    • Recent performances by Santomera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bala Azul is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santomera could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santomera - Bala Azul were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Bala Azul - Santomera 3:0
    27.04.2025 Bala Azul - Santomera 2:1
    15.12.2024 Santomera - Bala Azul 1:1
    Latest results of Santomera
    04.01.2026 Cartagena B - Santomera 4:4
    21.12.2025 Santomera - Real Murcia B 0:4
    13.12.2025 Yeclano B - Santomera 0:1
    06.12.2025 Santomera - Minerva 3:1
    Latest results of Bala Azul
    11.01.2026 Caravaca - Bala Azul 0:0
    21.12.2025 Muleño - Bala Azul 2:1
    06.12.2025 Bala Azul - Cartagena B 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Cieza27186351:153660
    2Real Murcia B27166552:312154
    3Molinense27156637:251251
    4Olimpico de Totana271210533:191446
    5Mazarron CF271111538:251344
    6UCAM Murcia B271111537:271044
    7Santa Cruz271161030:26439
    8Pulpileno2799924:27-336
    9Aguilas FC B2799933:33036
    10Minerva27810921:28-734
    11FC Cartagena SAD B27891034:31333
    12Bala Azul27515725:23230
    13Deportivo Maritimo27771329:40-1128
    14EG El Palmar CF27761422:35-1327
    15Santomera27581429:52-2323
    16Caravaca274111224:36-1223
    17Muleno27491424:46-2221
    18Yeclano B27491417:41-2421

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