Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (200/253) | 88% (385/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (200/253) | 88% (385/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 50% (15/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (48/73) | 82% (132/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Amione B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Coccaro M. ⚽,
- 7', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
- 15', Matheus Doria 🟨,
- 21', Balanta K. 🟨,
- 45', Abella J. 🟨,
- 45', Dajome C. 🟨,
- 45+1', del Prete G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dajome C. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
- 57', Guemez J. 🟨,
- 61', Abella J. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 61', Guemez J. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
- 64', del Prete G. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 67', Acevedo C. 🟨,
- 69', Coccaro M. 🟥,
- 71', Villalba F. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 78', Lopez A. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 90', Vargas C. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽, Medina D. (A),
- 90+3', Mora A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rocha A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlas
54.4% | Draw
24.1% | Santos Laguna
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Atlas - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
3.97 ↑
(3.97) |
4.49 ↑
(4.4) |
5.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlas - Santos Laguna?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
- Atlas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atlas is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Djurdjevic U.
(Yellow Cards)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Ortega H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Balanta K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Santos Laguna?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Atlas?
Santos Laguna has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Santos Laguna were as follows:
23.02.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Atlas
2:0
16.07.2024
Atlas
-
Santos Laguna
1:0
04.02.2024
Atlas
-
Santos Laguna
3:0
13.07.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Atlas
0:0
26.01.2023
Atlas
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
