Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.05 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
32 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
89% (417/470) | 77% (209/272) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.05 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.45 | 0.79 |
Total shots |
---|
32 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
16 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
2 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
89% (417/470) | 77% (209/272) |
Long passes |
---|
73% (37/51) | 46% (31/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (130/170) | 56% (27/48) |
Crosses |
---|
34% (15/44) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.24 | 0.23 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 2 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.79 | 3.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.21 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Barticciotto B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Rivero I. ⚽, Piovi G. (A),
- 40', Sordo R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Dajome C. ⚽, Amione B. (A),
- 49', Velazquez K. 🟨,
- 56', Bogusz M. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 56', Velazquez K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 68', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 74', Dajome C. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 75', Villalba F. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 75', Paradela J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 80', Lira E. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 81', Rotondi C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Fernandez G. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 88', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul 77.4% | Draw 14.8% | Santos Laguna 7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.22 ↓ (1.4) |
6.24 ↑ (4.6) |
11.71 ↑ (7.52) |
6.4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 82% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Cruz Azul (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
- Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santos Laguna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Santos Laguna has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
Orozco J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Ortega H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
Perez J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Santos Laguna?
Cruz Azul has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna were as follows:
19.02.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
02.11.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Santos Laguna
2:0
09.03.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
20.08.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )