Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna
Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.050.31
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
324
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
89% (417/470)77% (209/272)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.050.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.450.79
Total shots
324
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
161
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
374
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
215
Passes
89% (417/470)77% (209/272)
Long passes
73% (37/51)46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
76% (130/170)56% (27/48)
Crosses
34% (15/44)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.240.23
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
172
Tackles
80% (12/15)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3140
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.793.45
Goals prevented
-1.210.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Rodriguez C. , Paradela J. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Barticciotto B. , Abella J. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Rivero I. , Piovi G. (A),
  • 40', Sordo R. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Dajome C. , Amione B. (A),
  • 49', Velazquez K. 🟨,
  • 56', Bogusz M. , Faravelli L. ,
  • 56', Velazquez K. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 68', Barticciotto B. , Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ,
  • 74', Dajome C. , Carrillo J. ,
  • 75', Villalba F. , Palacios K. ,
  • 75', Paradela J. , Marquez J. ,
  • 80', Lira E. , Campos O. ,
  • 81', Rotondi C. , Fernandez G. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Fernandez G. , Sepulveda A. (A),
  • 88', Amione B. , Echeverria E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
77.4%
Draw
14.8%
Santos Laguna
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.5% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 19.3% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
  • Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.4)
    6.24
    (4.6)
    11.71
    (7.52)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 82%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Cruz Azul (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
    • Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Santos Laguna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Santos Laguna has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cruz Azul is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A. (Knee Injury) Orozco J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Santos Laguna: Ortega H. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P. (Injury) Perez J. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul 0:1
    02.11.2024 Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna 2:0
    09.03.2024 Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul 3:0
    20.08.2023 Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna 2:2
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    Latest results of Santos Laguna
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey650113:7615
    2Cruz Azul642013:7614
    3Pachuca641111:5613
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Tigres UANL531115:8710
    6Toluca631213:9410
    7Club Tijuana623110:919
    8Juarez62226:7-18
    9Club Leon62135:9-47
    10Santos Laguna62049:10-16
    11Atl. San Luis62049:10-16
    12Mazatlan FC61328:9-16
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Atlas512210:14-45
    15Necaxa61236:10-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas51138:10-24
    17Queretaro61147:12-54
    18Puebla51044:14-103

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