Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (417/470) | 77% (209/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (417/470) | 77% (209/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (37/51) | 46% (31/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (130/170) | 56% (27/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 3.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Barticciotto B. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Rivero I. ⚽, Piovi G. (A),
- 40', Sordo R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Dajome C. ⚽, Amione B. (A),
- 49', Velazquez K. 🟨,
- 56', Bogusz M. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 56', Velazquez K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 68', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 74', Dajome C. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 75', Villalba F. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 75', Paradela J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 80', Lira E. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 81', Rotondi C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Fernandez G. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 88', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
77.4% | Draw
14.8% | Santos Laguna
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.4) |
6.24 ↑
(4.6) |
11.71 ↑
(7.52) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 82% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Cruz Azul (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
- Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santos Laguna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Santos Laguna has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
Orozco J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Ortega H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
Perez J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Santos Laguna?
Cruz Azul has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna were as follows:
19.02.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
02.11.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Santos Laguna
2:0
09.03.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
20.08.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
