Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/318) | 75% (206/275) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/318) | 75% (206/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (26/36) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (56/78) | 71% (72/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Di Yorio L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', 1 - 1, Almada F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Zaleta M. ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 59', Gruezo C. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
- 65', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 67', Abella J. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 67', Ortega H. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
- 71', Dudu ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
- 80', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 82', Dajome C. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
- 83', Rubio B. ↓, Ben Rhouma A. ↑,
- 83', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 90+5', Ovalle J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
49.2% | Draw
25.9% | Mazatlan
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Santos Laguna - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.81) |
3.61 ↓
(3.81) |
3.74 ↓
(3.83) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.
- Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.
- In this match, Santos Laguna is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Orona E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Mazatlan?
Santos Laguna has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Santos Laguna?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Mazatlan were as follows:
23.12.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
1:1
21.10.2025
Mazatlan
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
14.02.2025
Mazatlan
-
Santos Laguna
1:1
25.10.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
0:0
25.02.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
