Result
2:2
21/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Hernandez Andrade K. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/299) | 80% (246/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/299) | 80% (246/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (11/38) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (69/98) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Meraz R. ⚽,
- 38', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lozano C. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 46', Abella J. ↓, Villalba F. ↑,
- 46', Mariscal Murra S. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. (A),
- 62', Mariscal Murra S. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 67', Esquivel J. 🟨,
- 68', Hernandez D. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
- 68', Duarte A. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 70', Meraz R. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Palacios K. ⚽, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. (A),
- 83', Diaz J. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
- 84', Sordo R. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Almada F. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
- 90+5', Lopez A. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 90+7', Dajome C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
45.3% | Draw
26.1% | Santos Laguna
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Mazatlan - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.83) |
3.64 ↓
(3.8) |
3.37 ↓
(3.73) |
5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Santos Laguna?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mazatlan will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mazatlan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Benedetti N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Dudu
(Injury)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Fagundez F.
(Coach's decision)
Palacios K.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Santos Laguna?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Mazatlan?
Santos Laguna has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Santos Laguna were as follows:
14.02.2025
Mazatlan
-
Santos Laguna
1:1
25.10.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
0:0
25.02.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
1:0
23.11.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Mazatlan
2:1
01.11.2023
Mazatlan
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
