Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/505) | 85% (353/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/505) | 85% (353/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/134) | 78% (87/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Ademir ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 56', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
- 64', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 65', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 72', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 72', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Rezende ↑,
- 74', Mayke ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 74', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 76', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 86', Joao Schmidt ↓, Hyan ↑,
- 86', Escobar G. ↓, Souza ↑,
Chances of winning
Bahia
56.6% | Draw
24.7% | Santos
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Bahia - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.75) |
3.81 ↑
(3.53) |
5.07 ↑
(4.73) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Santos?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
- Bahia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Yellow Cards)
Fred Lippert
(Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Joao Basso
(Muscle Injury)
Neymar
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Santos?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Bahia?
Santos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Santos were as follows:
06.04.2025
Santos
-
Bahia
2:2
18.09.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
1:2
31.05.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
2:1
17.05.2023
Santos
-
Bahia
0:0
10.05.2023
Santos
-
Bahia
3:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
