Result
2:2
06/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 78% (299/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 78% (299/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (129/164) | 82% (67/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Erick ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 40', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 46', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 46', Iago ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Thaciano ⚽,
- 51', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 56', Gil 🟨,
- 66', Caio Alexandre ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 66', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 66', Rodrigo ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
- 70', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
- 74', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 80', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Diego Pituca ⚽,
- 83', Diego Pituca 🟨,
- 87', Erick 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Luciano Juba ⚽, Cauly (A),
- 90+2', Guilherme ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 90+7', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
42.9% | Draw
30.6% | Bahia
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Santos - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.97) |
3.08 ↓
(3.34) |
3.57 ↓
(4.01) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.
- Recent matches Santos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Santos will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Knee Injury)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Everton Ribeiro
(Red Card)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:16 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:4 (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Bahia?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Santos?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Bahia were as follows:
18.09.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
1:2
31.05.2023
Bahia
-
Santos
2:1
17.05.2023
Santos
-
Bahia
0:0
10.05.2023
Santos
-
Bahia
3:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
