Bahia vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Santos
Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 21
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.28
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
85% (428/505)85% (353/415)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.62
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
85% (428/505)85% (353/415)
Long passes
56% (27/48)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)78% (87/112)
Crosses
25% (3/12)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.37
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1217
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.620.86
Goals prevented
0.62-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Ademir , Cauly ,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 56', Gabriel Bontempo , Caballero G. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 64', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
  • 65', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 72', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 72', Nicolas Acevedo , Rezende ,
  • 74', Mayke , Igor Vinicius ,
  • 74', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 76', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
  • 86', Joao Schmidt , Hyan ,
  • 86', Escobar G. , Souza ,

Chances of winning


Bahia
56.6%
Draw
24.7%
Santos
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.6% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 26.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Bahia - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.75)
    3.81
    (3.53)
    5.07
    (4.73)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
    • Bahia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Yellow Cards) Fred Lippert (Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Joao Basso (Muscle Injury) Neymar (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Santos were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    18.09.2023 Bahia - Santos 1:2
    31.05.2023 Bahia - Santos 2:1
    17.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 0:0
    10.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    06.08.2025 Retrô Brasil - Bahia 0:0
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    Latest results of Santos
    17.08.2025 Santos - Vasco da Gama 0:6
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    04.08.2025 Santos - Juventude 3:1
    26.07.2025 Sport Recife - Santos 2:2
    23.07.2025 Santos - Internacional RS 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet