Santos vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Paulista Women Santos - Ferroviária
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista Women - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Vendito ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Rafa Andrade ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Santos
28.2%
Draw
27.5%
Ferroviária
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 24.8% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 23.9% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santos - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.74)
    2.72
    (3.7)
    1.79
    (1.81)
    29.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.
    • Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Ferroviária were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Ferroviária - Santos 1:1
    14.08.2024 Ferroviária - Santos 4:1
    15.06.2024 Ferroviária - Santos 2:0
    08.12.2023 Ferroviária - Santos 0:2
    12.03.2023 Santos - Ferroviária 0:1
    Latest results of Santos
    20.09.2025 Corinthians - Santos 1:0
    03.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 2:2
    30.08.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    26.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Santos 0:1
    18.08.2025 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 2:1
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Paulista Women Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W1090126:52127
    2Palmeiras W1071222:81422
    3Ferroviaria W1052318:9917
    4Bragantino W1043315:14115
    5Sao Paulo W1042413:13014
    6Santos W102358:14-69
    7Taubate W103076:21-156
    8Realidade Jovem W100191:25-241

          Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women