Result
2:3
12/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/408) | 75% (250/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/408) | 75% (250/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 28% (15/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (113/147) | 68% (34/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (12/43) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 35', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Guilherme ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Souza ↓, Ze Ivaldo ↑,
- 56', Marinho 🟨,
- 60', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 60', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 65', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 66', Britez E. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 2, Yago Pikachu (Pen),
- 74', 2 - 2, Yago Pikachu (Pen),
- 77', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 77', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 79', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 80', Diego Pituca ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 80', Barreal A. ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 85', Ze Rafael ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 86', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
- 89', David Luiz 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Rollheiser B. ⚽, Gabriel Bontempo (A),
- 90+3', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
43.2% | Draw
30.2% | Santos
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Fortaleza - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.07) |
3.11 ↓
(3.22) |
3.58 ↓
(3.88) |
6.1%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Santos?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Santos will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 51.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Fortaleza is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Hamstring Injury)
Neymar
(Red Card)
Neymar
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Santos?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Fortaleza?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Santos were as follows:
06.12.2023
Santos
-
Fortaleza
1:2
13.08.2023
Fortaleza
-
Santos
4:0
13.11.2022
Santos
-
Fortaleza
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
