Result
2:3
12/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.93 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
32 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
83% (340/408) | 75% (250/332) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.93 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.20 | 1.79 |
Total shots |
---|
32 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
12 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
83% (340/408) | 75% (250/332) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (19/40) | 28% (15/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (113/147) | 68% (34/50) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (12/43) | 33% (1/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.79 | 2.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 35', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Guilherme ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Souza ↓, Ze Ivaldo ↑,
- 56', Marinho 🟨,
- 60', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 60', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 65', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 66', Britez E. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 2, Yago Pikachu (Pen),
- 74', 2 - 2, Yago Pikachu (Pen),
- 77', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 77', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 79', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 80', Diego Pituca ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 80', Barreal A. ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 85', Ze Rafael ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 86', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
- 89', David Luiz 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Rollheiser B. ⚽, Gabriel Bontempo (A),
- 90+3', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 43.2% | Draw 30.2% | Santos 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Fortaleza - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.07) |
3.11 ↓ (3.22) |
3.58 ↓ (3.88) |
6.1% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Santos?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Santos will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 51.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Fortaleza is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Hamstring Injury)
Neymar
(Red Card)
Neymar
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Santos?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Fortaleza?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Santos were as follows:
06.12.2023
Santos
-
Fortaleza
1:2
13.08.2023
Fortaleza
-
Santos
4:0
13.11.2022
Santos
-
Fortaleza
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet