San Marcos vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 San Marcos - Santos
Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Romero P. ,
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Curiel M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Andia R. ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Mena Y. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Marcos
32.2%
Draw
26.6%
Santos
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 26.7% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos's form might have worsened.
  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marcos - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.07)
    3.63
    (3.4)
    2.19
    (3.07)
    4.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for San Marcos - Santos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Santos (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Santos will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • San Marcos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos - Santos were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    Latest results of San Marcos
    Latest results of Santos
    06.09.2025 Santos - ADA Jaén 1:2
    30.08.2025 Unión Comercio - Santos 2:1
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2