Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Villanueva C. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Curiel M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez N. ↓, Arrieta J. ↑,
- 46', Morales G. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
- 46', Montoya C. ↓, Delgado G. ↑,
- 63', Curiel M. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Villanueva C. ⚽,
- 71', Velasco S. 🟨,
- 72', Villanueva C. ↓, Mendoza Cornejo F. G. ↑,
- 81', Marcos N. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 86', Arrieta J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Reategui M. 🟥,
- 90+3', Velasco S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio
68% | Draw
20.7% | Santos
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Unión Comercio - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.45) |
4.39 ↑
(4.1) |
8.03 ↑
(5.96) |
10%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 3.
- Unión Comercio has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Unión Comercio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Unión Comercio is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Unión Comercio will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Santos?
Unión Comercio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Unión Comercio?
Santos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Santos were as follows:
26.07.2025
Santos
-
Unión Comercio
0:2
14.06.2025
Santos
-
Unión Comercio
2:1
26.04.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Santos
3:1
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Moquegua ✔ | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesar Vallejo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Tacna Heroica | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Carlos Mannucci | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio ✔ | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | ADA Jaen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Santos | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | San Marcos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Union Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
