Santos vs Unión Comercio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Santos - Unión Comercio
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', Arrieta J. 🟨,
  • 20', Marines D. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Villanueva C. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Villanueva C. ,
  • 44', Andia R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Jimenez O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arrieta J. , Morales G. ,
  • 46', Delgado G. , Ayala J. ,
  • 46', Marcos N. , Vargas C. ,
  • 56', Isita J. , Farias J. ,
  • 69', Curiel M. , Vela A. ,
  • 72', Mena J. 🟥,
  • 72', Vela A. 🟥,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Perlaza V. ,
  • 78', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 89', Villanueva C. , Madrid Y. ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,
  • 90+2', Estacio M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Santos
43.2%
Draw
28.6%
Unión Comercio
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 26% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.7% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Santos - Unión Comercio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.92)
    3.17
    (3.47)
    3.21
    (3.35)
    10.5%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • Santos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Unión Comercio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santos could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Unión Comercio were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Unión Comercio - Santos 3:1
    Latest results of Santos
    07.06.2025 Deportivo Coopsol - Santos 0:2
    31.05.2025 Santos - Moquegua 1:1
    17.05.2025 Cantolao - Santos 1:2
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica10102:201
    2Moquegua10102:201
    3Cesar Vallejo10100:001
    4FC Cajamarca10100:001
    5Carlos Mannucci00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio11002:023
    2San Marcos10100:001
    3ADA Jaen10100:001
    4Santos00000:000
    5Comerciantes10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)