Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 89', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aurrerá de Vitoria 35.3% | Draw 30.2% | Santurtzi 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↓ (2.86) |
3 ↑ (2.98) |
2.63 ↑ (2.39) |
10.3% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Santurtzi?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santurtzi won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Santurtzi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi were as follows:
28.09.2025
Santurtzi
-
Aurrerá de Vitoria
1:2
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Latest results of Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 67:26 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 50:31 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Derio | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 55:38 | 17 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad C | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 49 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 48 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 52:58 | -6 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 41 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 36 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 35:54 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 27 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 21:44 | -23 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation