Santurtzi vs Pasaia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Elguezabal D. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', 1 - 2, ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Santurtzi
50.3%
Draw
27.5%
Pasaia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 26.4% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 25.8% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Santurtzi - Pasaia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.32
    (3.45)
    4.11
    (4.2)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Pasaia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Santurtzi is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santurtzi - Pasaia were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Santurtzi - Pasaia 2:2
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    16.11.2025 Lagun Onak - Santurtzi 1:2
    09.11.2025 Santurtzi - Deusto 1:1
    02.11.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 4:1
    26.10.2025 Santurtzi - San Ignacio 1:0
    18.10.2025 Derio - Santurtzi 3:0
    Latest results of Pasaia
    15.11.2025 Pasaia - Real Sociedad C 0:0
    08.11.2025 Pasaia - Zarautz KE 0:4
    25.10.2025 Pasaia - Deusto 0:1
    18.10.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
    11.10.2025 Pasaia - San Ignacio 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

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