Pasaia vs Santurtzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
02/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Chances of winning


Pasaia
37.9%
Draw
32.2%
Santurtzi
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 32.3% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 33% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Pasaia - Santurtzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.66)
    2.82
    (2.79)
    3.04
    (2.67)
    10%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Santurtzi were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Santurtzi - Pasaia 1:3
    24.11.2024 Santurtzi - Pasaia 2:2
    Latest results of Pasaia
    29.03.2026 Real Sociedad C - Pasaia 2:0
    19.03.2026 Zarautz KE - Pasaia 0:3
    14.03.2026 Pasaia - Lagun Onak 1:1
    07.03.2026 Deusto - Pasaia 1:0
    28.02.2026 Pasaia - Portugalete 1:1
    Latest results of Santurtzi
    28.03.2026 Santurtzi - Lagun Onak 0:1
    21.03.2026 Deusto - Santurtzi 0:2
    15.03.2026 Santurtzi - Portugalete 0:0
    07.03.2026 San Ignacio - Santurtzi 3:1
    01.03.2026 Santurtzi - Derio 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa30166842:281454
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Derio301461047:361148
    7Alaves C30138951:341747
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

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