Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽,
- 24', 🟨,
- 27', Lucas Dias 🟨,
- 36', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
- 37', Hyuri 🟨,
- 37', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 38', Matheus Mascarenhas 🟨,
- 44', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 57', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 63', Pedro Felipe ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 74', Matheus Mascarenhas ↓, Wesley Costa ↑,
- 74', Ramon Vinicius ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
- 76', Joao Paulo ↓, Lucas Reis ↑,
- 76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Buchecha ↑,
- 82', Iury ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
- 82', Hyuri ↓, Renan ↑,
- 82', Felipe Augusto ↓, Douglas Bacelar ↑,
- 85', Rafael Forster 🟥,
- 90', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Marlyson (Pen),
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Lucas Dias ⚽,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
57.3% | Draw
27.3% | Figueirense
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
São Bernardo - Figueirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.55) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
5.95 ↑
(5.35) |
9.1%
(11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Figueirense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- São Bernardo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Figueirense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Figueirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Bernardo is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that São Bernardo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Figueirense?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Figueirense won against São Bernardo?
Figueirense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Figueirense were as follows:
23.06.2024
São Bernardo
-
Figueirense
1:2
05.06.2023
São Bernardo
-
Figueirense
1:0
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Brusque | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Ypiranga FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
