Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 16', Felipe Azevedo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Foguinho ⚽,
- 60', Igor Pereira ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 60', Patrick Allan ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 61', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 61', Dudu Miraima ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 67', Helio Borges ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
- 67', Igor Fernandes ↓, Raimar ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Marco Antonio ⚽,
- 82', Felipe Garcia ↓, Bastos R. ↑,
- 82', Victor Andrade ↓, Sillas ↑,
- 85', Marco Antonio ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', Leo Duarte 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
45.6% | Draw
31.2% | Náutico Capibaribe
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.74) |
2.94 ↓
(3.4) |
3.94 ↓
(3.95) |
9.1%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Náutico will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Náutico (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Náutico (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 25%). Náutico (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- São Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- Náutico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- São Bernardo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Náutico is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, São Bernardo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Náutico Capibaribe?
São Bernardo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against São Bernardo?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
21.04.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
São Bernardo
1:1
26.08.2023
Náutico Capibaribe
-
São Bernardo
2:2
01.03.2023
São Bernardo
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:1
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
