São Bernardo vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
11
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
00
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
11
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 16', Felipe Azevedo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Foguinho ,
  • 60', Igor Pereira , Wenderson ,
  • 60', Patrick Allan , Igor Bolt ,
  • 61', Felipe Azevedo , Echapora ,
  • 61', Dudu Miraima , Emerson Santos ,
  • 67', Helio Borges , Otusanya O. ,
  • 67', Igor Fernandes , Raimar ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Marco Antonio ,
  • 82', Felipe Garcia , Bastos R. ,
  • 82', Victor Andrade , Sillas ,
  • 85', Marco Antonio , Samuel ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Leo Duarte 🟨,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
45.6%
Draw
31.2%
Náutico Capibaribe
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 26.2% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 24.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.74)
    2.94
    (3.4)
    3.94
    (3.95)
    9.1%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Náutico will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • São Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • Náutico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • São Bernardo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Náutico is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, São Bernardo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo 1:1
    26.08.2023 Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo 2:2
    01.03.2023 São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe 0:1
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina10102:201
    2Sao Bernardo10102:201
    3SER Caxias00000:000
    4Floresta EC00000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta11001:013
    2Nautico00000:000
    3Brusque00000:000
    4Guarani10010:1-10

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