Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense vs São Caetano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
28/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 14

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, ,
  • 84', 4 - 1, ,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
31.9%
Draw
33.4%
São Caetano
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 30.6% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense's form might have worsened.
  • São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.44)
    2.72
    (3.09)
    2.62
    (2.78)
    10.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Recent form of São-Carlense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • São Caetano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São-Carlense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano were as follows:
    01.03.2025 São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense 2:1
    Latest results of São Caetano
    21.03.2026 São Caetano - Barretos 2:0
    18.03.2026 Tanabi - São Caetano 1:2
    14.03.2026 São Caetano - Lemense FC 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1