São Caetano vs Matonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
24/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


São Caetano
79.4%
Draw
13.7%
Matonense
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 16.5% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Caetano's performance.
  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-38.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Caetano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Caetano - Matonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.15
    (1.55)
    6.65
    (3.8)
    13.17
    (5.09)
    10%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
    • Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
    • Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match São Caetano is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of São Caetano
    Latest results of Matonense
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista1080218:81024
    2Marilia1064016:41222
    3Rio Claro1063113:7621
    4EC Sao Bernardo1153315:8718
    5XV de Jau1052312:9317
    6Rio Preto1045115:11417
    7Catanduva1044213:9416
    8Uniao Barbarense1044210:9116
    9Paulista1033411:11012
    10Uniao Sao Joao103349:9012
    11Bandeirante102447:13-610
    12Rio Branco SP112458:17-910
    13Itapirense1123612:18-69
    14Francana102178:14-67
    15Desportivo111376:18-126
    16Uniao Suzano101278:16-85

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4