São Caetano vs Matonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 São Caetano - Matonense
Result
4:1
24/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


São Caetano
79.4%
Draw
13.7%
Matonense
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 16.5% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Caetano's performance.
  • Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-38.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Caetano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Caetano - Matonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.15
    (1.55)
    6.65
    (3.8)
    13.17
    (5.09)
    10%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
    • Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
    • Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match São Caetano is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of São Caetano
    Latest results of Matonense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3