São Gonçalo vs Petrópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca 2 - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
19
Corner Kicks
16
Red Cards
10
Total shots
216
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
16
Goalkeeper Saves
80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Pedro China ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Digao 🟥,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Lastra ,

Chances of winning


São Gonçalo
41.4%
Draw
31.1%
Petrópolis
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 28.3% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 27.7% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Gonçalo's form might have worsened.
  • Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrópolis's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Gonçalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Gonçalo - Petrópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.75)
    2.97
    (3.22)
    3.37
    (4.64)
    8.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).
    • São Gonçalo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Petrópolis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • São Gonçalo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Gonçalo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, São Gonçalo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of São Gonçalo
    Latest results of Petrópolis
    Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olaria21103:214
    2Serrano FC21103:214
    3Resende11004:043
    4Americano21012:113
    5Cabofriense11001:013
    6Perolas Negras11001:013
    7Bonsucesso21012:203
    8Sao Goncalo21011:103
    9Audax RJ10011:2-10
    10CEAC/Araruama20022:4-20
    11America RJ10010:2-20
    12Marica10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Carioca B1