Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Serra A. ⚽,
- 9', Martins J. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Rai Nascimento ⚽, Pereira N. (A),
- 44', Cezar F. ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Castro J. ↓, Campas T. ↑,
- 72', Firmino H. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
- 72', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Ca L. ⚽,
- 79', Martins J. ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
- 79', Andrezinho ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
- 84', Vilela M. 🟨,
- 89', Rai Nascimento ↓, Jesse ↑,
- 90', Valente R. ↓, Jaramillo J. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+6', Vitinha 🟨,
Chances of winning
São João de Ver 55% | Draw 24.8% | Sanjoanense 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São João de Ver's form might have worsened.Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
São João de Ver - Sanjoanense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↑ (1.5) |
3.67 ↓ (4.03) |
4.51 ↓ (5.54) |
9.9% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
- São João de Ver is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sanjoanense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- São João de Ver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São João de Ver is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that São João de Ver will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has São João de Ver won against Sanjoanense?
São João de Ver has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanjoanense won against São João de Ver?
Sanjoanense has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São João de Ver - Sanjoanense were as follows:
14.02.2026
Sanjoanense
-
São João de Ver
1:1
13.12.2025
São João de Ver
-
Sanjoanense
2:1
13.09.2025
Sanjoanense
-
São João de Ver
2:2
05.04.2025
Sanjoanense
-
São João de Ver
5:2
01.03.2025
São João de Ver
-
Sanjoanense
2:2
Latest results of São João de Ver
Latest results of Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )