São João de Ver vs Sanjoanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
15
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
22
Corner kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Serra A. ,
  • 9', Martins J. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Rai Nascimento , Pereira N. (A),
  • 44', Cezar F. , Kiko Felix ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Castro J. , Campas T. ,
  • 72', Firmino H. , Marques P. ,
  • 72', Pereira N. , Ca L. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Ca L. ,
  • 79', Martins J. , Shodipo O. ,
  • 79', Andrezinho , Rocha T. ,
  • 84', Vilela M. 🟨,
  • 89', Rai Nascimento , Jesse ,
  • 90', Valente R. , Jaramillo J. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Vitinha 🟨,

Chances of winning


São João de Ver
55%
Draw
24.8%
Sanjoanense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 22.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 21.9% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São João de Ver's form might have worsened.
  • Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • São João de Ver - Sanjoanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.5)
    3.67
    (4.03)
    4.51
    (5.54)
    9.9%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
    • São João de Ver is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sanjoanense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • São João de Ver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São João de Ver is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that São João de Ver will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São João de Ver - Sanjoanense were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Sanjoanense - São João de Ver 1:1
    13.12.2025 São João de Ver - Sanjoanense 2:1
    13.09.2025 Sanjoanense - São João de Ver 2:2
    05.04.2025 Sanjoanense - São João de Ver 5:2
    01.03.2025 São João de Ver - Sanjoanense 2:2
    Latest results of São João de Ver
    Latest results of Sanjoanense
    26.04.2026 Sanjoanense - Paredes 1:0
    19.04.2026 Braga B - Sanjoanense 1:2
    11.04.2026 Sanjoanense - Fafe 2:3
    21.03.2026 Marco 09 - Sanjoanense 0:0
    15.03.2026 Sanjoanense - Braga B 2:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante1274118:10825
    2Academica1273217:10724
    3Os Belenenses1255220:14620
    4Mafra1251613:18-516
    5Vitoria Guimaraes B1244414:13116
    6Varzim1241710:15-513
    7Santarem1223711:17-69
    8Trofense122376:12-69

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