Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/09/2025 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Alex Silverio 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Luis Gustavo 🟨, 
- 58', Cristiano ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑, 
- 65', Rodrigues F. 🟨, 
- 74', Gustavo Henrique 🟨, 
- 75', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↓, Yuri ↑, 
- 76', 0 - 1, Rodrigues F. ⚽, 
- 78', Rone ↓, Luis Araujo ↑, 
- 78', Fernando Junior ↓, Mateus Petri ↑, 
- 79', Bruno Menezes ↓, Luciano ↑, 
- 80',  🟨, 
- 80', Alex Silverio 🟥, 
- 83', Rodrigues F. ↓, Victor ↑, 
- 87', Mian F. ↓, Lima L. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | São José-SP 55.4%
 | Draw 26.8%
 | Comercial SP 17.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        São José-SP - Comercial SP Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.64 ↓ (1.77)
 | 3.4 ↓ (3.5)
 | 5.12 ↑ (4)
 | 10% (10.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, São José-SP is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has São José-SP won against Comercial SP?
                    
                    
                        
                            São José-SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against São José-SP?
                    
                    
                        
                             Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Comercial SP were as follows:
                                                        
                                07.09.2025 
                                Comercial SP 
                                - 
                                São José-SP 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.02.2024 
                                São José-SP 
                                - 
                                Comercial SP 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of São José-SP                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Comercial SP