Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Alex Silverio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
- 58', Cristiano ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
- 65', Rodrigues F. 🟨,
- 74', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 75', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Rodrigues F. ⚽,
- 78', Rone ↓, Luis Araujo ↑,
- 78', Fernando Junior ↓, Mateus Petri ↑,
- 79', Bruno Menezes ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 80', Alex Silverio 🟥,
- 83', Rodrigues F. ↓, Victor ↑,
- 87', Mian F. ↓, Lima L. ↑,
Chances of winning
São José-SP
55.4% | Draw
26.8% | Comercial SP
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
São José-SP - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.77) |
3.4 ↓
(3.5) |
5.12 ↑
(4) |
10%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, São José-SP is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has São José-SP won against Comercial SP?
São José-SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against São José-SP?
Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Comercial SP were as follows:
07.09.2025
Comercial SP
-
São José-SP
1:0
17.02.2024
São José-SP
-
Comercial SP
4:0
Latest results of São José-SP
Latest results of Comercial SP
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | AEA Aracatuba | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Oeste | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC | Sao Bento | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Comercial | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Sao Joao | Noroeste | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Primavera | Paulista | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Gremio Prudente | Sao Caetano | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | Francana | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Oeste | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | Comercial | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Uniao Sao Joao | Primavera | 0 : 2, 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | Francana | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Comercial | |
| 2 | Primavera | Gremio Prudente | |
