Novo Hamburgo vs São-Joseense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense
Result
0:1
14/06/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Novo Hamburgo
33.6%
Draw
33.3%
São-Joseense
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 31.3% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 29.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novo Hamburgo's performance.
  • São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São-Joseense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novo Hamburgo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São-Joseense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (4)
    2.71
    (2.9)
    2.73
    (1.97)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São-Joseense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Hamburgo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches São-Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • São-Joseense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense were as follows:
    11.06.2023 São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo 2:1
    Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
    Latest results of São-Joseense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1