São Lourenço vs Umuarama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
02/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', Gesse (G),
  • 13', Renan 🟨,
  • 17', Vinicius M. (G),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 29', Joaozinho (G),
  • 31', Chicharito 🟨,
  • 34', Pirulito (G),
  • 35', Vinicius (G),

Chances of winning


São Lourenço
47.2%
Draw
22.1%
Umuarama
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 22.6% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 22% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Lourenço has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Lourenço's performance.
  • Umuarama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umuarama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Lourenço that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umuarama than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umuarama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Lourenço - Umuarama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.32)
    4.39
    (4.1)
    3.16
    (2.47)
    3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Umuarama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Lourenço - Umuarama were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Umuarama - São Lourenço 1:0
    18.07.2023 São Lourenço - Umuarama 1:1
    Latest results of São Lourenço
    Latest results of Umuarama
    25.07.2025 Umuarama - Carlos Barbosa 2:2
    19.07.2025 Cascavel - Umuarama 3:0
    13.07.2025 Umuarama - São José 2:0
    03.07.2025 Atlântico - Umuarama 3:0
    01.07.2025 Umuarama - Joaçaba 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3