Result
5:0
17/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (479/520) | 87% (319/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (479/520) | 87% (319/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 68% (25/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (100/130) | 71% (41/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Thainler (Own goal),
- 16', 2 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
- 32', 3 - 0, Gabriel Oliveira (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marcio Duarte ↓, Higor ↑,
- 46', DG ↓, Lucas Hulk ↑,
- 46', Denis Germano ↓, Victor Jesus ↑,
- 46', Gustavo Martins ↓, Noriega E. ↑,
- 46', Marlon ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 46', Tete ↓, Roger ↑,
- 46', Amuzu F. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 54', Thiago Santos 🟨,
- 55', 4 - 0, Cristaldo F. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
- 56', Cristaldo F. ↓, Willian ↑,
- 63', Escuro ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
- 66', 5 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Willian (A),
- 75', Thiago Santos ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
- 77', Caio Paulista 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
81.5% | Draw
13.2% | São Luiz
5.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Grêmio - São Luiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.14 ↓
(1.27) |
6.84 ↑
(4.9) |
17.86 ↑
(10.3) |
7.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - São Luiz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Grêmio (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In this match, Grêmio is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 3.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against São Luiz?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against Grêmio?
São Luiz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - São Luiz were as follows:
01.02.2025
Grêmio
-
São Luiz
5:0
28.02.2024
São Luiz
-
Grêmio
2:0
10.02.2024
Grêmio
-
São Luiz
1:1
18.02.2023
São Luiz
-
Grêmio
0:0
Latest results of São Luiz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
