Result
1:1
06/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/324) | 57% (120/210) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/324) | 57% (120/210) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 22% (12/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (73/119) | 43% (35/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Muriel ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 64', Valber Junior ↓, Escuro ↑,
- 64', Rogerio Sena ↓, Victor Jesus ↑,
- 65', Josue 🟨,
- 71', Leandro Moura ↓, Matheus Batista ↑,
- 73', Vidmar 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 1, Felipe Rangel ⚽, Escuro (A),
- 76', Felipe Rangel 🟨,
- 76', Felipe Rangel ↓, Denis Germano ↑,
- 77', Vidmar ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 79', Victor Jesus 🟨,
- 79', Allison 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Luam Parede ⚽, Josue (A),
- 84', Amaral ↓, Joao Castro ↑,
- 85', Rone ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 85', Allison ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
- 86', Denis Germano 🟨,
- 89', Gabriel Oliveira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novo Hamburgo
48.5% | Draw
29.7% | São Luiz
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+2%)
Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.98) |
3.04 ↑
(2.95) |
4.25 ↑
(3.65) |
9.4%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- São Luiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hamburgo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburgo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Novo Hamburgo won against São Luiz?
Novo Hamburgo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against Novo Hamburgo?
São Luiz has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz were as follows:
02.03.2026
São Luiz
-
Novo Hamburgo
1:0
21.01.2026
São Luiz
-
Novo Hamburgo
1:0
03.02.2024
Novo Hamburgo
-
São Luiz
1:0
02.02.2023
São Luiz
-
Novo Hamburgo
1:0
Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
Latest results of São Luiz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Internacional | Gremio | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |
