América Mineiro vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A América Mineiro - São Paulo
Result
2:1
27/08/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 21
  • Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
35.7%
Draw
29.3%
São Paulo
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.3% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 30.2% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • América Mineiro - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.69)
    3.26
    (3.22)
    2.71
    (2.65)
    5.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 30%). São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 0.
    • América MG is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches São Paulo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Giuliano Galoppo (Knee Injury) Patryck (Injury)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Adyson (Injury)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Caio Paulista (Injury) Erison (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - São Paulo were as follows:
    22.04.2023 São Paulo - América Mineiro 3:0
    06.10.2022 América Mineiro - São Paulo 1:2
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of São Paulo
    24.08.2023 LDU Quito - São Paulo 2:1
    19.08.2023 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    16.08.2023 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:0
    13.08.2023 Flamengo - São Paulo 1:1
    10.08.2023 São Paulo - San Lorenzo 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    10Ceara1764717:17022
    11Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1656517:20-321
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1839616:20-418
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet