Bahia vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brasileiro Women Bahia - São Paulo
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rhaizza ,
  • 5', Nalon N. 🟨,
  • 19', Camila Santos 🟨,
  • 35', Aline 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Isa , Karla Alves ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Crivelari ,
  • 56', Camilinha 🟨,
  • 57', Kaiuska , Mari Pires ,
  • 58', Cassia , Carballo W. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Gomez A. (Own goal),
  • 73', Rhaizza , Luana Rodrigues ,
  • 73', Tchula , Barbosa C. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 82', Camilinha , Anny ,
  • 82', Dudinha , Carol Gil ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Gomez A. , Thais Prado ,

Chances of winning


Bahia
16.6%
Draw
23.4%
São Paulo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.3% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 22.3% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bahia - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (5.01)
    3.92
    (3.9)
    1.53
    (1.55)
    9.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - São Paulo were as follows:
    25.02.2023 São Paulo - Bahia 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    11.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 1:0
    04.05.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 5:1
    27.04.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 2:1
    20.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 3:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    09.05.2025 São Paulo - Fluminense 0:0
    06.05.2025 São Paulo - Santos 1:2
    03.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Cruzeiro WBragantino W2 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Palmeiras WFlamengo W3 : 0, 2 : 3
    3Corinthians WBahia W2 : 0, 2 : 1
    4Sao Paulo WFerroviaria W2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cruzeiro WPalmeiras W3 : 1
    2Corinthians WSao Paulo W2 : 0