Bahia vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brasileiro Women Bahia - São Paulo
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rhaizza ,
  • 5', Nalon N. 🟨,
  • 19', Camila Santos 🟨,
  • 35', Aline 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Isa , Karla Alves ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Crivelari ,
  • 56', Camilinha 🟨,
  • 57', Kaiuska , Mari Pires ,
  • 58', Cassia , Carballo W. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Gomez A. (Own goal),
  • 73', Rhaizza , Luana Rodrigues ,
  • 73', Tchula , Barbosa C. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 82', Camilinha , Anny ,
  • 82', Dudinha , Carol Gil ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Gomez A. , Thais Prado ,

Chances of winning


Bahia
16.6%
Draw
23.4%
São Paulo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.3% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 22.3% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bahia - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (5.01)
    3.92
    (3.9)
    1.53
    (1.55)
    9.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - São Paulo were as follows:
    25.02.2023 São Paulo - Bahia 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    11.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 1:0
    04.05.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 5:1
    27.04.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 2:1
    20.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 3:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    09.05.2025 São Paulo - Fluminense 0:0
    06.05.2025 São Paulo - Santos 1:2
    03.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:2
    Brasileiro Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro W15113135:152036
    2Corinthians W15104146:123434
    3Sao Paulo W15103231:102133
    4Palmeiras W1593338:201830
    5Flamengo W1583431:191227
    6Ferroviaria W1574424:16825
    7Bahia W1573526:22424
    8Bragantino W1555520:16420
    9America Mineiro W1554618:20-219
    10Fluminense W1546518:20-218
    11Gremio W1538423:21217
    12Internacional W1535717:29-1214
    13Real Brasilia W1533915:36-2112
    14Juventude W1524910:27-1710
    153B da Amazonia W15211211:53-427
    16Sport Recife W1503129:36-273

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women