Result
89:85
14/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 62 | 59 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 45.2% | 45.8% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 53.6% | 58.1% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 38.2% | 32.1% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 69% | 78.6% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Bauru - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.34) |
|
3.2 ↑
(3.05) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 154.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
Preview Facts
- Bauru leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 4.
- Bauru is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bauru is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Bauru will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1397:1460. (average 77.6:81.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bauru won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 704:688. (average 78.2:76.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bauru won against São Paulo?
Bauru has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Bauru?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bauru - São Paulo were as follows:
12.05.2025
Bauru
-
São Paulo
84:67
09.05.2025
São Paulo
-
Bauru
85:96
11.01.2025
Bauru
-
São Paulo
75:73
26.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Bauru
78:68
06.01.2024
São Paulo
-
Bauru
89:93
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian NBB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Pinheiros | 27 | 22 | 5 | 2321:2010 | 0.815 |
| 2 | Franca | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2587:2186 | 0.793 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 28 | 22 | 6 | 2434:2175 | 0.786 |
| 4 | Minas | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2435:2303 | 0.750 |
| 5 | Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2347:2184 | 0.714 |
| 6 | Brasilia | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2303:2035 | 0.714 |
| 7 | Paulistano | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2269:2154 | 0.607 |
| 8 | Sao Jose | 29 | 17 | 12 | 2385:2316 | 0.586 |
| 9 | Bauru | 29 | 17 | 12 | 2309:2268 | 0.586 |
| 10 | Mogi | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2124:1954 | 0.536 |
| 11 | Uniao Corinthians | 27 | 14 | 13 | 2137:2199 | 0.519 |
| 12 | Unifacisa | 27 | 14 | 13 | 2163:2138 | 0.519 |
| 13 | Caxias do Sul | 27 | 12 | 15 | 1959:2074 | 0.444 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 9 | 18 | 2139:2300 | 0.333 |
| 15 | Rio Claro | 27 | 8 | 19 | 2090:2360 | 0.296 |
| 16 | Pato | 28 | 7 | 21 | 2053:2224 | 0.250 |
| 17 | Cearense | 27 | 6 | 21 | 2080:2345 | 0.222 |
| 18 | Botafogo | 27 | 5 | 22 | 1946:2244 | 0.185 |
| 19 | Osasco | 27 | 4 | 23 | 2019:2353 | 0.148 |
| 20 | Vasco | 28 | 4 | 24 | 1950:2228 | 0.143 |
Promotion ~ NBB (Play Offs: )
