Botafogo vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Brazilian NBB Botafogo - São Paulo
Result
86:85
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Miranda S. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6361
Field Goals Made
3230
Field Goals %
50.8%49.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4034
2-Point Field Goals Made
2022
2-Point Field Goals %
50%64.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2327
3-Point Field Goals Made
128
3-Point Field Goals %
52.2%29.6%
Free Throws Attempted
1522
Free Throws Made
1017
Free Throws %
66.7%77.3%
Offensive Rebounds
118
Defensive Rebounds
2622
Total Rebounds
3730
Assists
1927
Blocks
25
Turnovers
1711
Steals
810
Personal Fouls
1818

Chances of winning


Botafogo
41.4%
São Paulo
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo's form might have worsened.
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Botafogo - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.71)

    1.61
    (1.99)
    7.5%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 157.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Botafogo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • São Paulo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 377:407 (average 75.4:81.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 161:164 (average 80.5:82).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo - São Paulo were as follows:
    15.12.2024 São Paulo - Botafogo 82:71
    25.03.2024 Botafogo - São Paulo 83:79
    04.12.2023 São Paulo - Botafogo 78:77
    Latest results of Botafogo
    03.04.2025 Botafogo - Paulistano 64:85
    29.03.2025 Botafogo - Flamengo 85:92
    13.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo 80:66
    16.02.2025 Botafogo - Pato 91:76
    Latest results of São Paulo
    03.04.2025 Flamengo - São Paulo 105:86
    28.03.2025 São Paulo - Pato 65:69
    13.03.2025 Caxias do Sul - São Paulo 76:65
    08.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - São Paulo 88:78
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Minas (1)Mogi (16)3 : 0
    2Vasco (8)Sao Jose (9)3 : 1
    3Bauru (5)Paulistano (12)3 : 2
    4Brasilia (4)Sao Paulo (13)1 : 3
    5Flamengo (2)Caxias do Sul (15)3 : 1
    6Uniao Corinthians (7)Corinthians Paulista (10)1 : 3
    7Franca (3)Pato (14)3 : 0
    8Pinheiros (6)Unifacisa (11)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Minas (1)Vasco (8)3 : 0
    2Bauru (5)Sao Paulo (13)3 : 0
    3Flamengo (2)Corinthians Paulista (10)3 : 1
    4Franca (3)Pinheiros (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minas (1)Bauru (5)3 : 0
    2Flamengo (2)Franca (3)2 : 3

    Final
    1Minas (1)Franca (3)1 : 3