Result
2:2
16/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (440/500) | 85% (340/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (440/500) | 85% (340/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (136/177) | 74% (69/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Ferreira ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Savarino J. ⚽, Artur (A),
- 35', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 45+13', 1 - 2, Andre Silva ⚽, Ferreira (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Matheus Alves 🟨,
- 63', Gregore ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
- 65', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 65', Matheus Alves ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 66', Ferreira 🟨,
- 81', Matheus Martins ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
- 87', Ferreira ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 88', Artur ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 88', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 88', Ferraresi N. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 90+1', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
52.9% | Draw
28% | São Paulo
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Botafogo RJ - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.95) |
3.37 ↓
(3.6) |
4.98 ↑
(3.73) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Botafogo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Pelvis Injury)
Marcal
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Inactive)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Inactive)
Young
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against São Paulo?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Botafogo RJ?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - São Paulo were as follows:
08.12.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
São Paulo
2:1
25.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Botafogo RJ
1:2
18.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
São Paulo
0:0
24.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
19.08.2023
São Paulo
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
