Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/443) | 82% (402/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/443) | 82% (402/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 62% (76/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Dinenno J. ⚽, Diaz E. (A),
- 45+2', Neto ↓, Leo Linck ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 46', Jeffinho ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 46', Allan ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 48', Franco A. 🟨,
- 58', Alisson ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 58', Dinenno J. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 62', Marcal ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 69', Newton ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
- 72', Franco A. ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
- 77', Rodriguinho ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 87', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 87', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 90+2', Tapia G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
46.5% | Draw
31% | Botafogo RJ
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
São Paulo - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.22) |
3.3 ↑
(3.09) |
4.59 ↑
(3.58) |
-1.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- São Paulo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla D.
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luciano
(Yellow Cards)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Artur
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Botafogo RJ?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against São Paulo?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
16.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
São Paulo
2:2
08.12.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
São Paulo
2:1
25.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Botafogo RJ
1:2
18.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
São Paulo
0:0
24.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
