Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/492) | 83% (261/316) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 69% (49/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Patrick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Natel ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Lucas Moura (A),
- 70', Jean Irmer ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 70', Patrick ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 80', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 80', Marcos Antonio ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 80', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 83', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Airton ↑,
- 83', Luis Oyama ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 88', Oscar ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 90+2', Patrick Brey 🟥,
- 90+3', Rafael Donato 🟨,
- 90+7', Robson 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
58.6% | Draw
26.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.53) |
3.54 ↓
(3.7) |
6.08 ↑
(6) |
7.6%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Novorizontino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against São Paulo?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
17.03.2024
São Paulo
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
